Oct 252012
 

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
942 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2012

VALID 12Z MON OCT 29 2012 – 12Z THU NOV 01 2012

…HIGH IMPACT MERGING OF ENERGETIC SYSTEMS ANTICIPATED OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST…

PRELIMINARY UPDATE…

DESPITE A MODEST CLUSTER OF OUTLYING DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS AND
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, THE LION’S
SHARE OF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AMPLIFYING POLAR
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO BECOME INCORPORATED INTO
A HYBRID VORTEX OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NEXT TUESDAY.
THE HIGH DEGREE OF BLOCKING FROM EASTERN NORTH AMERICA ACROSS THE
ENTIRE ATLANTIC BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THIS UNUSUAL MERGER TO
TAKE PLACE, AND ONCE THE COMBINED GYRE MATERIALIZES, IT SHOULD
SETTLE BACK TOWARD THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH HALLOWEEN,
INVITING PERHAPS A GHOULISH NICKNAME FOR THE CYCLONE ALONG THE
LINES OF “FRANKENSTORM”, AN ALLUSION TO MARY SHELLEY’S GOTHIC
CREATURE OF SYNTHESIZED ELEMENTS.

AS IS OFTEN THE CASE, WHEN ONE PART OF THE NATION IS EXPERIENCING
A VERY ENERGETIC ATMOSPHERE DISTURBANCE, THE REMAINDER IS
RELATIVELY CALM. THIS EVENT SHOULD NOT PROVE THE EXCEPTION, WITH A
FAIRLY BENIGN FEED OF PACIFIC AIR INTO MOST OF THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL STATES. THE FAR WEST, PARTICULAR NORTH OF CALIFORNIA, WILL
HAVE ENOUGH SUSTAINED ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE PERIOD WET AND
UNSETTLED.

CISCO

Aug 032012
 

Marty Brennaman – long-time radio announcer for the Reds – had his head shaved tonight because of a bet he made regarding the Reds’ recently-ended 10 game win streak.

I’ve been thinking of my grandpa a lot lately because of it. I guess, just imagining what he might have said about it. I think he’d get a kick out of it.

Seems a lot of my summer evening memories back in Indiana involved Marty on 700WLW on grandpa’s transistor radio playing somewhere in the background. I can still smell the evening air sometimes…playing whiffle ball in front of the shed.

“Skinny yellow or big red bat?!”

20120803-232608.jpg

May 152012
 

Though not a terribly exciting set up for far South Texas today, the area will have the potential for isolated severe weather by early this afternoon.

Model data indicates the likelihood of the influence of a weak mid-level vorticity lobe advecting into the area by early afternoon (note the area of 20-22 10E-5/s to the NW of Brownsville in the image below).

HRRR 500mb Vorticity Field at 19Z (2pm CDT)

This bit of energy has the capability of driving the development of convection, in an area of at least marginal shear and instability.

SREF Probability of Craven-Brooks Significant Severe >=20000 (a severe t-storm threshold)